the census, the first since Brexit,. The press release for the 2011 Census explained that the prevalence rates for the main religions were: Catholic (41 per cent); Presbyterian (19 per cent); Church of Ireland (14 per cent); Methodist (3.0 per cent). The data, published on Thursday, focuses on main language, passports and national identity, which all points to an increasingly diverse population. In 2018, an academic specialising in monitoring social trends said it was likely that Catholics would outnumber Protestants by 2021. Coogan also said that he had an off-the-record conversion with an Irish cabinet minister "who would later become Taoiseach" in 2001, who told him that the Catholic population in Northern Ireland was closer to 48 percent. "Even if it does not, population growth will continue on the nationalist side whether loyalists, London, or sections of decision-taking Dublin like it or not.". The average household size in the 2021 Census is 2.44, down from 2.54 in the 2011 Census. Northern Ireland's population has reached its highest ever level - at 1.903 million. Tue May 24 2022 - 12:37. 2 February - GCSE, AS and A Level qualifications will be calculated by schools in 2021, it is confirmed. Projected growth varies substantially between the four countries of the UK: England's population is projected to grow by 5.0% over this period; for Northern Ireland, the figure is 3.7%; while. "Dramatic change may come as soon as next year's assembly elections, which could conceivably see a Sinn Fin First Minister returned to Stormont," he said. The question will be similar to that asked in the 1991 Census, but in addition, respondents who indicate no religion will be asked to record the religion in which they were brought up (if any). The Northern Ireland Census, due in March 2021, is expected to show a nationalist majority for first time in the North's 100-year existence which is also being commemorated this year. A similar additional question is not asked in England and Wales, nor in Ireland. The question asking for the religious background of non-respondents and non-religious people is specific for Northern Ireland. In England and Wales, there is one category: Christians (including Church of England, Catholic, Protestant and all other Christian denominations). The reality? Here are a few recent confident predictions of the census results: Catholics 47 per cent . Furthermore, the category was not taken together with Church of Scotland into one category of Protestant and other Christian. For the first time, people were urged to complete the survey online if they could, rather than on paper. The current estimate of the population in Northern Ireland is about 1.9 million, 'I had to destroy a truck-load of beer' Video, Crypto market rocked as FTX rescue deal collapses, Late Microsoft boss's art fetches record $1.5bn, The rise - and possible fall - of Lauren Boebert, Top Iranian actress poses without headscarf, Harsher sentence for wife of spy convicted in US, UK-Swiss science deal as both barred from EU scheme, Democrat who nearly died keeps partys hopes alive. Adding people who belong to other Christian-related denominations, there has been a Protestant minority since 2001. Details about the population's religious make-up will be published in the autumn. The usually resident population on census day 2021 was 1,903,175 - the highest ever. Northern Ireland's 2021 census has shown that for the first time in 101 years of history of the region, 45.7% of the population are Catholic while 43.5% are Protestant. Image Credit: K. Mitch Hodge (Unsplash) As the 2021 census - now less than a week away - has loomed on the horizon, interest in what the exercise will tell us about the religious demography of Northern Ireland has been building. In the last census, held in 2011, 45.1% of the population specified that they were Catholic or brought up Catholic, and 48.4% were from a Protestant or other Christian background. In addition to a religion belonging question, Northern Ireland is unique in the British Isles for asking a further religious background question. A spokesperson for the Department of Finance said a "working timetable" for the census results would be published at the end of this month, providing a schedule for when key statistics will be released throughout the year. Thus the decennial exercise of the Northern Ireland population census has an added sensitivity and importance. The 2011 Census recorded 48%. Get the day's headlines delivered directly to your inbox, Woman (27) charged following Portstewart assault, 'What does a tosh look like?' However, right underneath, it also said that bringing together the information on Religion and Religion Brought up in, 45 per cent of the population were either Catholic or brought up as Catholic, while 48 per cent belonged to or were brought up in Protestant, Other Christian or Christian-related denominations. The total population is 1,903,100, with slightly more females than males. A census is being conducted in Northern Ireland only a hundred years after the UK government split the island of Ireland in half, keeping the northern part and creating an independent Irish Republic in the south. Video: Northern Ireland Census 2021 (Belfast Live) Northern Ireland Census 2021. For the England and Wales census, there are no subcategories of the Christian response option.Religion brought up in, in Northern Ireland. So the results of Census 2021 in Northern Ireland have now been released. The Census 2021 Operational report can be viewed at https://www.nisra.gov.uk/publications/census-2021-operational-report 3. Dont include personal or financial information like your National Insurance number or credit card details. In Scotland, the brought up in question was asked in the 2001 census, in addition to a belonging to question. Tables are provided for Northern Ireland and the 11 Local Government Districts. It will take only 2 minutes to fill in. Census figures outlining the religious make-up and sense of national identity of people in Northern Ireland will be published later. The year 2011 was the first time the Protestant population was not the majority in the history of the region, according to the fifth Northern Ireland Peace Monitoring Report, published in October 2018. What does this information on Religion and Religion Brought up in contain, and was 2011 really the first time the majority of the population of Northern Ireland was not Protestant? 9.7% of people who in 2001 belonged to a Christian religion did not state the same religion for where they were brought up in. This looks set to continue as the 'baby boom' generation of the 1950s and 1960s reach retirement age. 2020-based Interim Population Projections for Northern Ireland - figures and tables. Every ten years a census survey is held in Northern Ireland. Sign up to IrishCentral's newsletter to stay up-to-date with everything Irish! "In contrast, and in line with the recent falling birth rate, the number of young children (aged 0 to 4) decreased by 9% from the last census.". He also said that next year's assembly elections could return a Sinn Fin First Minister for the first time in the history of Northern Ireland. It differed from the Northern Ireland census in that the "brought up in" question had to be answered by everyone (i.e. The short, tumultuous reign of Edwin Poots resulted in his own net approval rating of -52%, with just16% thinking he was doing a good job according to the previous poll. Long-term demographic trends suggest Census 2021 could be the first in the history of the region to record more Catholics than Protestants within the population. CLAIM: There have been several recent claims that, since it was first established a year and a half after the Good Friday Agreement, Northern Irelands devolved institutions have not been functioning for 40% of the time. The NI Statistics and Research Agency (Nisra) announced the figures on Tuesday. For those who answered the census question as belonging to no religion, or did not answer that question at all, religion brought up in is imputed using a nearest neighbour method. To help us improve GOV.UK, wed like to know more about your visit today. Census figures outlining the religious make-up and sense of national identity of people in Northern Ireland will be published later. This produces data that other statutory agencies find useful. The three main Protestant churches have represented less than 50% of the population since 1981, when 45.9% of the population responded that it belonged to one of these three Christian denominations. Three of the given answers to this question are Protestant churches: Presbyterian Church in Ireland, Church of Ireland, and Methodist Church in Ireland. EMAIL. The 2011 census, the findings of which were published the following year, showed that the Protestant population had declined to 48 per cent and the Catholic minority had risen to 45 per cent. A full list of all religions answered to the 2011 religion question can be founded here. Details These statistics provide the first phase of main census topics from Census 2021. He said that the coming census could shatter illusions that Protestants still retain a significant majority in Northern Ireland and he urged Irish-American politicians to ensure that the census is conducted correctly. The percentage of the population that is considered Protestant depends on the definition being used. 2019. "Everybody's talking about the possibility of a Catholic majority but I don't think it's likely this time around, as it would require a huge jump from what was recorded in 2011," he said. Population 1,903,175 Households 768,810 Broad age. Well send you a link to a feedback form. Keep up with the latest from FactCheckNI with out email newsletter. Seen as belonging to any of the three main Protestant churches, less than 50% of the population has been Protestant since 1981. Since 2001, the analysis of the religion question codes all responses into four categories: Catholic (1) adds up Roman Catholic with the written answers Catholic Apostolic Church, Ukrainian Catholic, Greek Catholic, and Catholic. https://www.nisra.gov.uk/publications/census-2021-population-and-household-estimates-for-northern-ireland. Coogan disputed this claim and said that Catholics will soon overtake Protestants in Northern Ireland regardless of any results that the census returns. It also showed an ageing Protestant community too, with only those over 60 having a significant majority, while the number of Catholic schoolchildren was notably greater than their Protestant counterparts. "The number of people aged 65 or more rose by more than 60,000 to nearly one third of a million people - a near 25% increase on 2011. For some, a Protestant-majority population provides assurance of continuation of the Union with Great Britain; for others, a Catholic-majority population means a call for a referendum for a united Ireland. The former category includes Protestant religions such as Pentecostal and Free Presbyterian, as well as other Christian religions as Church of England or Jehovahs Witness. The population of Northern Ireland on census day, 21 March 2021, was 1,903,175. An increase of 5.1% since the 2011 Census. Meanwhile, the percentage of Catholics remained stable. At the last census, in 2011, the population was 1,810,900, an increase of 7% on the previous census. Long-term demographic trends suggest Census 2021 could be the . These two religious denominations are also used as proxy for British unionist and Irish nationalist identities. Includes child-care, primary, secondary and tertiary education. Dr Paul Nolan, who specialises in monitoring the peace process and social. This traditional Irish thatched cottage is on the market for just $79k, Two Irish names among the most rare baby names in the United States, Irish American first name voted scientifically most beautiful, Two Irish American women make history in the US midterm elections, Michael Flynn is embracing his "Irish Catholic" heritage, IrishCentral reader's share their wonderful memories of Ireland at Christmas, Johnny Depp pens foreword to Pogues frontman Shane MacGowans new book, Birth of the Border: the effect of the Partition of Ireland. It is likely Catholics will outnumber Protestants by 2021 in Northern Ireland, according to a leading academic. This statement has also been quoted in a recent UNESCO report called Northern Ireland Returning to Violence. NISRA notes this can be partly explained by an increase in the proportion of people who either had no religion or no stated religion (from 14 per cent to 17 per cent) and the more than doubling of the prevalence rate for Other religions (from 0.3 per cent to 0.8 per cent). These answers were coded to Other Christian and Another religion solely on the basis of which box was used, since two separate write-in boxes for Other Christian and Another religion were provided. Before 2001, the Protestant and Other Christian category did not exist. In any case, the adjusted combined figures (6.5%) of those who responded No religion (5.6%) and Other religion and philosophies (0.9%) is greater than the spread between the adjusted figures of Protestant (48.4%) and Catholics (45.1%). "I would earnestly advocate that the Friends of Ireland grouping of Congressmen, on Capitol Hill Washington, scrutinize the handling of the census taking of 2021, with a very keen eye, both while the figures are being processed and after the result is declared," Coogan wrote in the Irish News. Table: All respondents, religion belonging, by country, 2011 Census: Table: Respondents belonging to Christian religion, denomination by country, 2011 Census: (Figures for England & Wales are not applicable; religion denomination not asked. It has been speculated that the 10-yearly statistics could see Catholics outnumber their Protestant counterparts for the first time. Related: Irish Politics, Northern Ireland, US Politics. The most indicated other religions were Baptist (1% of total population) and Christian (0.8%) (see Religion Full Detail: QS218NI). The results of the 2011 census indicated that 45.1% of the population were Catholic. The given answers in Ireland contained four Christian options: Roman Catholic, Church of Ireland, Presbyterian, and Orthodox. The total of 1.9 million is the highest figure recorded since Northern Ireland. Northern Ireland 2021 Census Result: 100 years since Partition, Catholics overtake Protestants as the largest religious group in NI Catholic: 42.3% (+1.5) Protestant: 37.3% (-4.3) Other: 1.7% (+0.9) No Religion: 19.0% (+2.1) Changes with 2011 The total of 1.9 million is the highest figure recorded since Northern Ireland was established in 1921. (The 1981 Census, however, was conducted in difficult circumstances, and a campaign of non-cooperation was held in some areas which, according to NISRA, resulted in a lower than expected figure for those stating Catholic and a higher than expected figure for Not stated). News stories, speeches, letters and notices, Reports, analysis and official statistics, Data, Freedom of Information releases and corporate reports. CLAIM: Irish Times columnist Stephen Collins claimed that the 2006 St Andrews Agreement modified the Belfast/Good Friday Agreement in such a way that it has effectively handed both the DUP and Sinn Fin veto powers over the formation of an Executive at Stormont. These nearest neighbours serve as donors for missing answers.Imputation is applied to the additional question (religion brought up in), meaning the percentage of non-respondents disappears in the adjusted results. Including non-religious people and non-respondents who were brought up in Protestant or other Christian denominations, less than half of the population has been Protestant since 2011. not exclusively by non-respondents or non-religious people). Coogan penned an op-ed in the Irish News and said that the census was the most significant event to take place in Northern Ireland in 2021, even as the region recovers from several days of violent Loyalist rioting. 12 January 2022. "This demonstrates the scale of population change due to ageing. Census Office, situated within the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA), will lead on the development and implementation of all elements of the 2021 Census. Headline population statistics by age and sex, the number of households with usual residents, and communal establishment population. Here the experiences of Northern Ireland seem to have little to offer to the debate. In its proposal document for the 2011 Census, NISRA notes that the formats of the religion questions proposed in the rest of the UK are different, reflecting local requirements and populations, but they are sufficiently comparable for the purposes of providing broad UK statistics. These proposals would normally have been considered and approved by the Minister of Finance, the Northern Ireland Executive and the Northern Ireland Assembly. You can change your cookie settings at any time. Consequently, the responses were coded independently of the "belonging to" question. In 2011, the brought up in question was dropped from the Scotland Census, due to limited user demand. View the results on the NISRA website. Find out more about what we do with your data. - Elon Musk responds to Chris Heaton-Harris, Tributes paid to young GAA player Conor McCaughey who died suddenly, Winter Ball and online auction set to raise vital funds for Friends of the Cancer Centre, Domino's looks to World Cup boost after quarterly sales fall, Greiner puts sustainable packaging message on the road, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever falls noticeably short of its ground-breaking predecessor, Review: Mamma Mia! 9.7% of people who in 2001 belonged to a Christian religion did not state the same religion for where they were brought up in . The new question is only meant for those who stated they belonged to no religion and those who did not answer the belonging to question. Belfast Live See more videos SHARE. Coogan questioned the results of previous censuses and pointed to efforts by two Dublin demographers in 1991 to categorize people whose religion was "not stated" as Catholics or Protestants in the 1991 Northern Ireland census. People belonging to or brought up in no religion, are those who answered None to both the main and the additional question. Includes crime statistics, cultural and religious matters. "Univariate census 2021 statistics for Northern Ireland on ethnicity, country of birth, passports held, religion, religion or religion brought up in, national identity, language, and household size will be published at 9.30 am on 22 September 2022. . "The fact is that there are a large number of Catholics who would never vote for a unionist party but also would not vote for a united Ireland," he said. Home / Communal counting: The Northern Ireland census, > Communal counting: The Northern Ireland census, 6 March 2019 Speculation about the 'sectarian headcount' has regularly accompanied these decennial events, but given the increased prominence of debates about a potential border poll in the aftermath of Brexit and a lack of clarity . not exclusively by non-respondents or non-religious people). "Their outlook would be based on the fact that they simply don't know what this new Ireland will look like nobody has yet to define it.". However, the . Jordan Lewis Accordingly, and unlike other questions, the percentage of the population who did not state a religion is given in the results. However, this latter group later got added with the three main Protestant churches, to provide comparisons over years. In the methodology document of the 2001 census, it is stated that the resultant community background data are of use in informing employment and other equality monitoring. The census data also showed that the population continued to age. Northern Ireland now has borders with Britain and Ireland and it is no longer a majority-Protestant state. We use some essential cookies to make this website work. The third Peace Monitoring Report from 2014 examined data from the 2011 census in Northern Ireland and found that the headline result was the narrowing of the gap between Catholics (45.1 per cent) and Protestants (48.4 per cent). Includes paramilitaries, peace lines, and life after the Troubles. But by using the same statistical imputation as with other questions, 55,345 non-respondents were added to Catholic and 59,835 to Protestant and other Christian as their religion being brought up in. The first phase of main statistics results from Census 2021 are now available. Northern Ireland's Parliament Buildings, often referred to as Stormont because of its location in the Stormont Estate area of Belfast. The same goes for religions outside of Christianity. 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A 1999 White Paper brought up an additional question about religion to be included in the 2001 census: A question on religion has traditionally been included in the census in Northern Ireland, where the information is used to help in the monitoring of policies on equality issues. Mr Feeney said that while he expected the official statistics to show continued growth in the Catholic population, numbers had not increased at a rate that would see them overtake Protestants. 44% of those who self-categorised as No religion or not stated, or 7.5% of the whole population, did not give a response to this question. Among the questions posed is one asking to what religion, religious denomination or body you belong. Details will also be released about national identity, passports held, country of birth and sexual orientation. SHARE. Just 13% said they would give their first preference to the DUP if an election were held tomorrow, down 3 points on May. Fun with a capital F for dancing queens and super troupers, Patricia Mac Bride: A lot of grown-up politics needed on protocol, Newton Emerson: Raising student fees is the only practical solution. Cover image showing relative populations between Protestants (red) and Catholics (blue); source: Northern Ireland Peace Monitoring Report, Number Five, October 2018. The safety of your information is our top priority. Eight-out-of-10 people took the online option. 11 minute read, EXPLAINER: How the Northern Ireland measures the number of Protestants and Catholics in the population. March 21 last year was Census Day and around 80,000 households took time. Estimates in this release will be published in rounded form. Normally, missing responses are imputed using standard statistical procedures. Outside the orange and green bubble, the census reveals the growth in multi cultural Northern Ireland with the number of those belonging to ethnic minority groups doubling to 3.4 percent since 2011. Belonging to a religion in Northern Ireland. The statistics released . In fact, if we remind ourselves of the poll's margin of error of 2.3 percentage points, the estimated range of support for staying in the UK is between 44.5% and 49.1%, while the estimated range of support for a united Ireland is between 42.3% and 44.6%. However, commentator and historian Brian Feeney disagrees, saying it would "require a huge jump" for the Catholic population to break the 50 per cent barrier in a survey he characterised as "crude" in its measurement. Irish historian and author Tim Pat Coogan. The table below summarises the changes resulting from the additional question: At 48.4%, it is true that 2011 was the first time that this category of Belonging to or brought up in Protestant and Other Christian denominations represented less than half of the Northern Ireland population. Check benefits and financial support you can get, Limits on energy prices: Energy Price Guarantee, Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency, Census 2021: population and household estimates for Northern Ireland. Census 2021 results online now Results from the Northern Ireland Census 2021 are available online now. He also speculated that as in 2012, the "juicy bits" of data would not be released until later in the year. The last census, in 2011, showed that the Protestant population had declined to 48 . By Emet Dennis / May 25, 2021 . This coincided with some reflections on a call for papers focusing on the relationship between the protection of minority rights and conflict resolution and prevention. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. To compare figures for Catholics and Protestants, all Protestant denominations have to be included to obtain a single category of Protestants. It identifies a set of nearest neighbours as similar as possible to each non-respondent, not just for individuals, but for an entire household. B ut a new . Religions, apart from the four main churches, were not broken up into two separate groups (Other Christian and Other religions), but were instead brought together into the group Other denominations. The remaining. It differed from the Northern Ireland census in that the brought up in question had to be answered by everyone (i.e. A total of about 7% said they either belonged to another religion or none. Northern Ireland's population has risen to almost 2m people, according to the results of the 2021 census. Read More Religion brought up in, in Great Britain and Ireland. In the UK, the Canadian Census Edit and Imputation System is used for imputation. While the number of. It is a system developed by Statistics Canada, based on the Nearest-neighbour Imputation Methodology. In Northern Ireland, Protestants in favor of the monarchy had been in the majority for centuries. Other responses were categorised as Other Christian (including Christian-related) (2) or Other Religions and Philosophies (3), which was done on the basis of the best available information. The population has increased by more than 90,000 in a . A prediction for the upcoming census is that there will likely continue to be an increase is secularism as that is a trend in multiple countries and not just Northern Ireland. Yes, both the Council of . A census occurs every 10 years and participation is compulsory. The latest figures show that the current population of Northern Ireland has increased by 5% since the last census in 2011. [10] Details The statistics provide estimates of the Northern Ireland population by five-year age band and sex, residence type, and the Northern Ireland household count with average household. UK long range weather forecast. However, there was no coding of write-in answers. Well never spam you. Opinion polls consistently show more people favour staying in the UK - citing taxes and the NHS, among other reasons - than uniting with Ireland. This article seeks to explain the data collection by the Northern Ireland Statistics Research Agency and some of their methods in calculating Protestants and Catholics. Long-term demographic trends suggest Census 2021 could be the first in the history of the region to record more Catholics than Protestants within the population. Ten years later, the percentage of these three Christian denominations declined to 42.8%. We also use cookies set by other sites to help us deliver content from their services. Irish historian Tim Pat Coogan called on the Friends of Ireland Caucus in Washington to scrutinize the 2021 Northern Irish census and ensure that Catholic figures are not under-reported. The 2021 census will be released on May 24 th. People could also write down other Christian-related denominations. Instead, there is jubilation throughout Protestant Ulster and Irish nationalism is gutted. Well only send you the good stuff. Includes party manifestos, hustings, and election processes, Includes agriculture, animals, climate change and recycling. THE first results of the 2021 census are expected to emerge in March, however, the much-anticipated data showing the regional religious breakdown may not be published for a further six months. However, the 2001 census returned a figure in the mid-40s, while the "not stated" category rose from 12 to 17 percent and was accompanied by a note saying that "these were thought to be mainly Protestants". However, their findings were not welcome in "decision-taking Dublin" and that former Taoiseach Dr. Garret FitzGerald was especially displeased. Census 2021 included a question on national identity. Likewise, 41.6% of people who stated they belonged to no religion stated a different response to what they were brought up in. Those who indicated they were Atheist, Jedi Knight, and others were included in the No religion or not stated (4) category, along with people who gave no response to the question.
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